From the the shores of Los Angeles, analysis of Politics and Culture from the Valley of the Shadow!
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Begin the Beguine
1) The Valley of the Shadow's annual Fundraising drive -- It begins tomorrow and I will ask on every post throughout this month. Maintaining the Valley is hard work, and the creator always needs alms. If you donate via Pay Pal, I will thank you personally and get you a shirt from The Valley of the Shadow.
2) My birthday -- December 16. Please remember it, I always lose out to Christmas every year. Visit the Wishlist or help with the fundraising drive. Thank you.
3) Keep your eye on March and May -- More news later.
Monday, November 27, 2006
Wilsonian Idealists v. Nixonian Realists
When Woodrow Wilson proposed his "14 Points" during the 1919 Paris Peace Conference, he opened up the door to American idealism in foreign policy. By the time of the Vietnam War, Nixionian Realism determined the opening to China.
The first term of the Bush Presidency was based on Wilsonian Ideals, Democracy for the Middle East, defend America by creating Capitalism abroad. Thanks to the results of the 2006 midterms, Bush pere's main advisor, James Baker, returns the Bush fils administration to the realist ideology. And with him comes the return of Realpolitiks to the Foreign policy desk.
Realpolitik is what brought the pre-World War One world to the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand. Leaving diplomacy to the diplomats brought the world to the brink. And today? The leaving of Wilsonian idealism brings the world closer to the "Archduke Ferdinand moment" (if it hasn't happened yet already). The chessboard is not the poppy fields of Europe, but the desert sands of the Middle East.
Under Realpolitik, Israel is put a pawn on a chessboard to be given away. Under Wilsonian rules, it is a lighthouse to a darkened area. Balance of power is an ideal goal for the Nixonians, but it is not how the world works today. During the 70's, the USSR was a balance to America. Balance of Power made sense. What is our balance today? The USSR might return, but not yet.
The realists are rising. The idealists are falling. Since 9/11, America has lived with the Damocles' Sword of another attack on our shores. By bringing Democracy to an autocratic region, America was building another pillar to use for the Realists. The return of the Realists is the end of a dream.
UPDATE: If you're coming from Hugh Hewitt's Blog, welcome! Please visit the Valley. Explore, comment, link or email. Please let me know what you think. Again, welcome!
Wednesday, November 22, 2006
We are coming to the end of the year. Storms are still gathering, but the world moves forward. Here is the history of the first Thanksgiving.
What am I thankful for in this year of Our Lord, 2006?
1) My Family. After my Dad's death in 2003, my Mom, sister and I might not have a lot of money, but we did have a lot of love. Thank you.
2) My friends. This has been a trying year, friends and allies lost, Dreams dashed and deferred, and betrayals. True friends stand by you, not when the everything is for you, but when things are tough. Thank you.
3) My friends in DC. Some have known me over a decade, one I've met last year. They inhabit the lobbying firms, the House, and the White House. I worry about their positions after this election. But if I can help them the same way they help me, I would. Thank you.
4) The readers of this Blog. Without you, I would not be here. Also, props to Blogger, Blogspot, Google, and AdSense. Stay with me, it will grow some more. Thank you.
5) The USA and Israel. Two democracies standing firm in this world. I grew up in the greatest country on earth, with the greatest political, economic, and social system on earth. The best flattery is imitation and who better then the Jewish state? Sh'ma Yishrael and God Bless America.
6) And thank you for reading this.
The storm is coming
Monday, November 20, 2006
Will San Francisco join in?
Sunday, November 19, 2006
|You scored as The Operative. You are The Operative, a skilled Alliance assassin sent to capture or kill the Tams. You are a cold, calculating killer with a strange sense of honor. A self-described "monster" you realize that you will have no place in the "better world" you are trying to create. Your "belief" is your most dangerous weapon.|
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
Cleaning up the Blogroll.....
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Is Israel the new Czechoslovakia?
Here is Netanyahu's reply.
This question is for the democrats in the audience. If your party wants to negotiate with Al-Queda in Iraq, Hezbollah and Hamas, what do you think they want?
Monday, November 13, 2006
Point of Divergence
Sunday, November 12, 2006
Saturday, November 11, 2006
Remember the Veterans
Tuesday, November 07, 2006
An equation before sleep
Democrats take over House of Representatives (but not the Southern seats).
Congratulations! The Fourth estate now controls the second estate.
Today, we go and do our civil duty and vote. Here are some reccomendations I have for todays vote:
Vote for Lieberman, Nancy Johnson, Rob Simmons and Chris Shays
Candidates: Arnold, McClintock, McPherson, Strickland, Parrish and Pachoogian.
Props: 1A - 1E: Yes; 86 - No; 87 - No; 88 - No; 89 - No; 90 - Yes.
Predictions: House R - 221; D - 213; I-1
Senate R - 52; D- 47; I-1
Those are my choices. Makes yours. Vote today for the candidate of your choice and remember, even though one card says "D" and another says "R", we are all Americans. Remember that November 8.
Sunday, November 05, 2006
Death of a Terrorist
Saddam Hussein lost his trial, despite supports from Democrat partisans in the United states. Here is a list of his crimes. And here is who he financed.
If you can't see the good that a newly functional state had done by trying a former dictator of that same state, then maybe it is time for the terrorists to start attacking the Transamerica tower or Universal Citywalk. Either we face them in Iraq and Afghanistan or we fight them here.
Ask an Israeli.
Saturday, November 04, 2006
Why no Dem says "Ya'll"
Back during the days of the Democratic Majority (1932-1994), their show of power consisted of the Boston-Austin connection. For instance, during their time of power, their was Speaker Sam Rayburn (D-TX) and Speaker Thomas "Tip" O'Neill (D-MA). However, since 2004 that connection has been frayed and these new Dems are not the party of old.
A) Three Elections - Let us start with 1964. If you look at a map , you can see that LBJ won a majority of the Southern sates (From TX to MD). By 1976, all Carter won was the Southern states. By 1980, Carter lost all the southern states but GA. 1964 was the last high tide for the Democrat party in the south. Remember, after FDR, any President could not get elected without the south. LBJ was an admirer of FDR and worked to continue that connection between Southern Conservatives and Northern Liberals. In 1994, after the Republicans solidified Congressionally what was occurring Presidentially. Ten years later, the Dems didn't fight in the south at all.
B) Military culture and Global War on Terror - Thanks to Kerry's remarks last week, the real view of the Dem party and the military can be seen. Since the Tet offensive in 1968 and Kerry's remarks in 1972, the Democrat party has taken an Anti-war stance that it has never left. What would happen if the Dem's win Tuesday during the GWOT? They will make Israel the new Czechoslovakia to Hamas and Hezbollah. They will allow the terrorists to re-group in Iraq and make it Afghanistan 1995 (who was President then?).
C) Southern Culture - Most Democrats have no problem insulting southerners (even though they need their votes). Redneck culture is just as important as Hip-Hop culture in this big nation. The "solid South" was a bedrock in Democrat politics until 1980, and then has not turned back. The GOP has a bulk of the country as it's starting point. The mid-Atlantic and New England states are losing population. It is also too expensive for most people to live in the Pacific west. Until the Dems learn to speak Southern, they will lose.